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http://blog.chromium.org/2011/01/more-about-chrome-html-video-codec.html
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* Because Firefox/Opera were never going to support h.264, distributing <video> using h.264 was never going to be a universal solution. It's possible that distributing <video> with WebM will be a universal solution if Safari and IE adopt it and mobile devices ship hardware decoding of it.
* If the above doesn't happen, then authors might be stuck forever either dual-encoding to h.264 and VP8 or dual-delivering h.264 via <video> and Flash.
I can't see any way that Google's move makes the first option less likely. It is unclear how much more likely it makes it. This depends very much on the next couple years of negotiations and plans.
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