While I wasn't in love with what I saw from MS on the Xbox One, the real meat comes from the games. That's where my real concern is.

Lets look at the known/likely MS-published releases for the Xbox One:

Quantum Break*
Ryse*
Forza 5
Halo 5
Dance Central 4
Kinect Sports 3
Kinect Adventures 2^
Kinectimals 2^
Crackdown 3
Kinect game by Twisted Pixel*
Fable 4
Dead Rising 3^

Now, MS claims to have 15 exclusive titles for launch year, with 8 being new franchises, so I put a star next to those. I put an arrow next to the ones I think MS might just reconceptualize into a "new" franchises.

I'd love to be wrong about this, but even if I'm wrong on a few of these, I just don't know if they'll really have the guns to sell this system to the initial purchaser.

Kinect was a great way to get more buyers in on the 360. Not truly a great product, but it sold. Is it really a great way to sell a new system?

I don't think so.

I'm still hoping to be converted, but I'm not feeling great about the Xbox One's chances.