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    By: Videosta x Show Full Post
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    Recent doom-and-gloom filled NPD reports had me thinking: Is the games industry bubble getting ready to burst? Is that a bad thing? How would I like to see it be rebuilt if it did burst?

    I came up with a few answers that really surprised me.

    To the first question I thought "Yes there is a good chance the bubble will burst for a few reasons." It will burst partly because there is too much money going into develop titles that often don't hit like they should. This is due to a number of issues including inflated pricing, poor awareness levels from consumers due to awful or invisible advertising, too many licensed titles being developed by committee, and bottom-line focused decision making by publishers which end up actually hurting the strength of the industry.

    To the second question I then thought "No, that might not be a bad thing." While the damage a burst will do to the people currently operating in the industry as well as the economic impact would be devastating, I think that a burst could lead to something exciting: the industry rebuilding itself under a new model.

    So, how did I then answer the third question? Well, I think it is hard to imagine a full picture, but I see a number of things that I think would make for a better industry including:

    -Lower pricing on games
    -Moving away from the 6-month window and into a more long-term view of profitability
    -Halting the raping of launch customers and then rapid decline in price of games
    -Lower development budgets
    -More developer control over the creative vision of the products they create as well as advertising control
    -Making all consoles backwards compatible, or having a serial number so that you could download a compatible version
    -Less mega-publishers like Activision and EA and more like Atlus
    -No more region coding so all games could be imported

    I'd really like to see games move to a cloud-type service where there is on delivery method, but companies like Sony, Nintendo, and Microsoft could still differentiate by having functionality like the Move, Kinect, or Wii-U Remote.

    I seriously doubt that any of this would ever happen, but I have had some fun lately thinking about it. Any thoughts?
    Aug 19, 2011 11:34am PDT
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    Recent doom-and-gloom filled NPD reports had me thinking: Is the games industry bubble getting ready to b... : Videosta

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    • For your answers to your proposed 3rd question, I agree with the first 3 bullet points, disagree with the... : ImprobableJ
    • [continued from previous response post] Developer control is a tough one. Its nice to think that the p... : ImprobableJ
    • I don't think the industry is in a bubble which will burst, it would have happened long ago if that was t... : 9cupsoftea
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      A bubble occurs when the PERCEIVED value of something grows far beyond its actual value. Whether that's t... : MHSilver
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        I think there's a good chance the bubble will happen with the launch of new consoles. I think the 3DS dra... : Videosta
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          Perhaps. I'm one of the people that doesn't think we need to see a new console until even 2015. We'... : MHSilver
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            I think the new systems will be rushed to market, probably announced next year, and will all fail miserab... : Videosta
            • Haha, not a chance. 2014 at the earliest, unless Wii U stuns everybody and absolutely crushes the mark... : MHSilver